Week 3 NFL Picks

Pro Picks is a weekly column where AP Pro Football Writer Rob Maaddi shares his picks for upcoming games. For all previous Pro Picks, head here.

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New England at New York Jets

Line: Jets minus 6 1/2

Aaron Rodgers plays his first game at home since tearing his Achilles tendon in Week 1 in 2023. The Jets are due to put it all together after a loss and a shaky win. The rebuilding Patriots (1-1) are playing with fight under new coach Jerod Mayo. They should keep it close on Thursday night.

JETS, 23-17

Baltimore at Dallas

Line: Ravens minus 1 1/2

The (0-2) Ravens visit the Dallas Cowboys (1-), who are coming off a lopsided 44-19 loss to the Saints. Dallas had won 16 straight regular-season games at home before being dominated by New Orleans. The Cowboys, who opened with an impressive win in Cleveland, also were blown out at home by the Packers in a wild-card playoff game last January.

Pro Picks leans toward the more desperate team.

RAVENS, 27-24

Kansas City at Atlanta

Line: Chiefs minus 3 1/2

Kirk Cousins led an impressive comeback on the road on Monday night to save the Falcons (1-1) from an 0-2 start. Now, they have to face the two-time defending Super Bowl champions. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs (2-0) haven’t played a complete game yet and have come away with two narrow wins.

BEST BET: CHIEFS, 27-19

Philadelphia at New Orleans

Line: Saints minus 2 1/2

The Eagles (1-1) blew a late lead in their home opener and have looked shaky. Derek Carr and the Saints (2-0) dominated the Cowboys on the road and have outscored opponents 91-29. So why are they favored by less than a field goal?

UPSET SPECIAL: EAGLES, 27-26

New York Giants at Cleveland

Line: Browns minus 6 1/2

Deshaun Watson and the Browns (1-1) looked much better in Jacksonville. Myles Garrett and a stingy defense should make it a tough day on Daniel Jones and the Giants (0-2). The Browns are 6-1 against the spread in their past seven home games. The Giants are 1-8 straight up in their past nine road games.

BROWNS, 26-16

Green Bay at Tennessee

Line: Titans minus 1 1/2

Jordan Love returned to practice and is hoping to play after Malik Willis led the Packers (1-1) to his first victory as a starter. The Titans (0-2) need to find a way to win no matter whom they’re playing against. It’ll help if Will Levis eliminates those boneheaded turnovers.

PACKERS, 20-16

Chicago at Indianapolis

Line: Colts minus 1

No. 1 Caleb Williams has struggled in his first two starts for the Bears (1-1). They should rely on the run against the Colts, who allowed 200 yards on the ground in each of the first two games and now will be missing three-time Pro Bowl defensive tackle DeForest Buckner. Anthony Richardson has thrown four picksalready for Indianapolis (0-2).

COLTS, 23-20

Houston at Minnesota

Line: Texans minus 2 1/2

C.J. Stroud isn’t satisfied with Houston’s offense despite a 2-0 start. The Texans could be without running backs Joe Mixon and Dameon Pierce but Will Anderson Jr. and a smothering defense will present a major challenge for Sam Darnold and the Vikings (2-0).

TEXANS, 26-20

Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh

Line: Steelers minus 1 1/2

One of two matchups between unbeaten teams that’ll be more of an old-school football battle. With J.K. Dobbins leading the way on the ground, the Chargers don’t need Justin Herbert to throw 50 times a game. T.J. Watt going against Los Angeles rookie tackle Joe Alt will be interesting. Justin Fields has played mistake-free ball filling in for Russell Wilson and the Steelers are winning because they have no turnovers.

STEELERS, 20-17

Denver at Tampa Bay

Line: Buccaneers minus 7

Baker Mayfield has turned into one of the top quarterbacks in the league and Todd Bowles’ injury-plagued defense was outstanding on the road against the high-octane Lions as the Buccaneers (2-0) pulled of an upset. That defense will make it tough on Bo Nix and the Broncos (0-2).

BUCCANEERS, 24-18

Carolina at Las Vegas

Line: Raiders minus 5 1/2

Maybe Andy Dalton can kickstart an offense that was dreadful with Bryce Young. The Panthers (0-2) can’t be any worse. Gardner Minshew led the Raiders (1-1) to a stunning comeback win in Baltimore while Maxx Crosby had another huge game.

RAIDERS, 23-19

Miami at Seattle

Line: Seahawks minus 4 1/2

Without Tua Tagovailoa, the Dolphins (1-1) turn to Skylar Thompson. He has plenty of playmakers around him, including All-Pro Tyreek Hill. The Seahawks are 2-0 behind Geno Smith and a revamped defense under Mike Macdonald.

SEAHAWKS, 24-20

San Francisco at Los Angeles Rams

Line: 49ers minus 7 1/2

The 49ers (1-1) and Rams (0-2) injury reports look like a Pro Bowl roster. Los Angeles is in danger of falling way behind after making the playoffs last year. Brock Purdy still has Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle and Jordan Mason. The 49ers are 1-5 against the spread in their past six games but 7-2 against it in their past nine games vs. the Rams.

49ERS, 26-20

Detroit at Arizona

Line: Lions minus 3

The Lions (1-1) haven’t played like Super Bowl contenders the first two weeks. It’s time for Jared Goff and Co. to get on track. Kyler Murray has to avoid Aidan Hutchinson and continue getting the ball to Marvin Harrison Jr. for the Cardinals (1-1).

LIONS, 27-20

Jacksonville at Buffalo

Line: Bills minus 5 1/2

After winning the AFC South in 2022 and falling short following a late-season collapse last year, the Jaguars (0-2) can’t afford another loss. They’re better than they’ve shown. Meanwhile, Josh Allen and the Bills (2-0) are playing like a team that felt disrespected.

JAGUARS, 23-21

Washington at Cincinnati

Line: Bengals minus 7 1/2

Joe Burrow nearly beat Mahomes and the Chiefs again if it weren’t for defensive blunders again. The Bengals (0-2) need a win badly. Jayden Daniels and the Commanders (1-1) aren’t ready to pull off this upset, though they should keep it close.

BENGALS, 26-20

Last week: Straight up: 8-8. Against spread: 8-7-1

Overall: Straight up: 23-9. Against spread: 17-13-2

Thursday: Straight up: 1-1. Against spread: 2-0.

Monday: Straight up: 2-0. Against spread: 1-1.

Best Bet: Straight up: 1-1. Against spread: 1-1.

Upset Special: Straight up: 2-0. Against spread: 2-0.

(AP)